Our research goal is to develop a decision-support system that would allow managers to play out various “what-if” scenarios to manage modularity debt and make informed decisions regarding refactoring. A decision-support system approach would appropriately address the need to simulate and visualize scenarios that include many different (current and future) factors under different assumptions that may affect the decision outcome. Our proposed system is called the modularity debt management decision-support system (MDM-DSS). Our MDM-DSS is built on a scientific foundation that we are constructing for explicitly manifesting the economic implications of software modularization activities, so that the costs and the benefits of such activities can be understood, analyzed, and predicted in a way that is amenable to both engineers and managers. The research questions being addressed include: how to manifest the costs and benefits of modularization activities as functions of modularity variations; how to locate the components with the most uncertainty and risk; how to determine that there is a debt; how to quantitatively account for the relation between modularization activities and their economic consequences; and, in particular, how to manifest the value of modularity as options so as to plan an optimal strategy of evolution based on viewing software as investment?
In addressing these research questions, we have developed an integrated economics-driven modularization evaluation (IEDME) framework that combines code-level analysis, design-level analysis, expert stakeholder elicitation, and history-based cost-benefit analysis. This framework links measures of modularity with quantified economic benefits—that is, maintenance cost-savings—to serve as the foundation of our target MDM-DSS. In what follows, we present the design considerations for the MDM-DSS.